You would think a lot of bettors would be scared off by the huge point spread in this game, with USC favored by 46 points at Sportsbook. But apparently not, as the line has actually moved from 44 points earlier this week, and shows signs of pushing to 47 or 48.
The USC Trojans are unquestionably one of the top teams in the nation, if not the best, and the Idaho Vandal are not in the same league as the Trojans even in a good year, which 2007 won’t be. The Trojans are bringing back a ton of starters, have early Heisman Trophy favorite John David Booty leading a powerful offense, and have what most consider to be the No. 1 defense in the country.
The Vandals, on the other hand, lost starting QB Steve Wichman, who is being replaced by a redshirt freshman, and have a new coach. Many expect the Vandals to finish very last in the WAC this year.
Coaching is an interesting angle in this game, and it also heavily favors the Trojans. Former Idaho coach Nick Holt is back with USC. The Vandals’ bench boss last season was Dennis Erickson, and now Robb Akey, a former WashingtonState defensive coordinator. In other words, Akey is the Vandals’ fourth coach in five years.
There is no question USC will win this game, and win big. But 46-plus points? It’s the first game of the season, and USC coach Pete Carroll has hinted that he will ‘discourage’ his team from running up the score, to prevent his team from getting too cocky too early in the season. Plus, no matter how weak your opponent, beating a team by 46 points is not easy. And there is no rivalry here; USC has nothing to prove.
Can’t see USC covering the spread. Take Idaho to beat it.