Archive for the 'NCAA Football' Category

Territorial Cup Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats

November 30, 2010

The annual rivalry game between the Arizona Wildcats and the Arizona Sun Devils, the Territorial Cup, gets the national spotlight on Thursday, December 2, 2010 with the Wildcats needing a win to secure a quality bowl invitation after limping down the stretch run dropping three straight.

The NCAA football odds list the Wildcats as six-point betting favorites with an over/under of 55.

This game features the two best passing offenses in the Pac 10 with Arizona’s 314.0 yards per game good for ninth in the nation and Arizona State’s 288.2 yards being good enough for twelfth.

Both of these teams have rather middling defenses with the Sun Devils being better against the run, but the Wildcats having a slight advantage in points (20.8-24.6) and total yards (339.5-362.5). Expect both teams to be effective moving the ball.

The Arizona State Sun Devils will be without their starting quarterback Steven Threet due to a concussion, but backup Brock Osweiler looked good in relief picking up 380 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions against the UCLA Bruins last week in a 55-34 blowout.

The Arizona Wildcats meanwhile has struggled to three straight losses falling to the Stanford Cardinal (13), USC Trojans and Oregon Ducks (1). Stanford and Oregon clearly out-classed them and USC used the run to control the game and eke out the win, something that the Wildcats won’t have to worry about against the Sun Devils.

The Sun Devils are 6-2-1 ATS this season while the Wildcats are 3-7 ATS. While losses to the top teams in the Pac 10 are not a reason to panic, Arizona is has a rather large number to cover against a team that they don’t have any big matchup advantage over.

While an outright upset seems a little unlikely, the six points is too much to ignore for any CFB betting enthusiast.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets – Orange Bowl Odds

December 17, 2009

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets won a lot of games this year by hanging on to small leads while the Iowa Hawkeyes kept winning games by coming from behind with last-minute scoring drives.

Maybe we should just skip the game, spot Georgia Tech the two points, give Iowa the ball and play the last minute.

That wouldn’t be much fun, but don’t be surprised if this is a close game decided in the last minute.

The Yellow Jackets are 4-point Orange Bowl Odds favorites and the over/under is 51.

The big question going in to this game is whether the Hawkeyes be able to stop the Yellow Jackets triple-option spread offense.

Georgia Tech has the second best running game in the nation averaging 307.2 yards.

Jonathan Dwyer, the primary running back, picked up an astounding 6.1 yards per carry.

Astounding that is until you see Anthony Allen’s 9.8 yards per carry. Allen picked up almost 600 yards with a limited number of touches.

The running backs are complemented by mobile quarterback Josh Nesbitt who ran the ball for 991 yards and 18 touchdowns.

Like other quarterbacks running the spread offense, Nesbitt gets most of his offense on the ground. He isn’t asked to pass very often and when he does pass it is mostly to spread the coverage out to open up more room for the runners.

All of the running Nesbitt and the running backs do opens up a lot of room for big passing plays.

This is reflected in his passing numbers. His completion percentage is just 47.7%, but he gets his high quarterback rating of 156.8 on the strength of 10 touchdowns against 4 interceptions and a whopping 11.04 yards per attempt.

The Iowa Hawkeyes kept winning games in the last minute and stayed undefeated for most of the season while not getting the respect they deserve from NCAA football blogs and news papers.

The Hawkeyes haven’t faced a spread offense this year so it will be interesting to see how they adapt.

Coach Kirk Ferentz does have about a month to game-plan and prepare so it will be curious to see how his players respond.

Iowa’s defense gives up the run a little in exchange for locking down the pass.

They’ve only given up an average of 164.7 yards per game in the air, but allowed almost as much on the ground at 122.0 yards per game.

This isn’t going to work against Georgia Tech who will be happy to pound the ball on the ground.

Before you write Iowa off, they have been able to come up big for important games and at important times. They did fall short in overtime against Ohio State, but that was without quarterback Ricky Stanzi.

It’s never easy to judge how players will perform under pressure, but the Hawkeyes have faced a lot of pressure situations this year and, more often than not, come out victorious.

For all of their experience under pressure though, the only way the Hawkeyes are going to win this is with a brilliantly conceived and executed game-plan.

And I don’t see it happening.

Treat for NCAAF Fans as Boise State and Nevada Square Off

November 25, 2009

Two of the best offenses in the nation meet as the Boise State Broncos face the Nevada Wolf Pack on Friday while the Backyard Brawl resumes between the Pittsburgh Panthers and the West Virginia Mountaineers.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Boise State Broncos

The Boise State Broncos host the Nevada Wolf Pack in a game that features the best offense in the nation trying to out-gun the hottest offense.

The Broncos are 14 point college football favorites largely because they have a big edge on defense.

The Wolf Pack are averaging 445.6 yards per game over their last eight games led by a deep stable of rushers including three with at least 1,000 yards.

If Boise State is going to cover the spread, they’re going to have to find a way to limit the damage on the ground. Boise State gives up 115.0 yards per game and if they can hold Nevada to something closer to this number than to the 574 rushing yards Nevada picked up in their last game they should win.

The Broncos offense hasn’t had any 574 yard rushing games, but it averages a nation-high 44.4 points per game.

Quarterback Kellen Moore and the receiving corps get most of the credit, but they diversified their game a bit against Utah State last week when they rushed for 323 yards.

Moore did struggle a bit in the game against Utah State completing fewer than 60 percent of his passes for the first time this season.

If Moore needs a little bit of confidence to get his passing game back, Nevada provides the perfect opportunity do get it. Nevada gives up an average of 286.3 passing yards per game which is second worst in the nation.

If Moore plays like he’s capable of and the Broncos defense is able to slow down the Wolf Pack’s running game, Boise State will easily cover the spread.

Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers

The Backyard Brawl resumes with the eight-ranked Pittsburgh Panthers visiting the West Virginia Mountaineers.

On paper these teams are very evenly matched and this game is a pick ’em with the over/under at 49.

The Panthers also have the advantage of coming off of their bye week, so they should be well prepared.

Running back Dion Lewis leads the Pittsburgh offense with 1291 yards and is coming off of a 152 yard performance against the Fighting Irish. But West Virginia is getting similar offensive numbers from Jarrett Brown.

Their passing attacks rank 61st and 68th and their defenses are also putting up similar numbers.

The biggest difference is that Pittsburgh is scoring more when they get their chances. They’re more focused and mentally tough and it shows in their respective road records. Pittsburgh is 3-1, West Virginia 1-3.

West Virginia is a perfect 6-0 at home, but Pittsburgh is just the sort of team that can spoil that and coming off of a bye week they should be very well prepared.

Public going with Florida Gators in BCS title tilt

January 6, 2009

No. 1-ranked Florida Gators battle the No. 2 Oklahoma Sooners in the BCS National Championship game at Dolphin Stadium in Miami on Thursday (8:15 pm ET, FOX).

Florida is a 3.5-point and -170 moneyline favorite at Sportingbet. The over/under is 70.5. Public Betting information shows 58 per cent of wagers on the game are on Florida.

The Gators (12-1 SU, 10-2 ATS) won the SEC Championship while the Sooners (12-1 SU, 10-2 ATS) won the Big 12.

Florida won the inaugural BCS Title Game two years ago, beating the Ohio State Buckeyes 41-14.

The Gators’ only loss this season came against Ole Miss in September, a 31-30 setback. Otherwise, the Gators have rolled over most opponents, including one-sided road wins over Tennessee (30-6), Georgia (49-10) and Florida State (45-15), as well as LSU (51-21) at home.

Florida captured the SEC championship with a 31-20 win over the Alabama Crimson Tide to earn a spot in the national title game.

Florida scored two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to rally for the win. Florida failed to cover the 10-point spread and the score went under the total of 54.5.

The BCS National Championship will be Florida’s 18th straight bowl game and 36th bowl appearance overall (16-19).

Oklahoma won the Big 12 title with a 62-21 butt-kicking of Missouri.

It was the Sooners’ third-straight Big 12 championship. Oklahoma covered the 16.5-point spread and the score went over the total of 79.

Just like Florida, Oklahoma has had just one loss this season, a 45-35 setback to Texas on Oct. 11. The Sooners rattled off seven straight wins after that loss to end the season and wrap up the Big 12 championship.

The Sooners have won seven national titles since 1950 with the latest coming in 2000. and boast of a 24-16-1 all-time bowl record. The team is making its 10th straight bowl appearance, but has struggled in the postseason of late, losing two straight bowl games and four of the last five overall.

This will be the first-ever meeting between the two teams.

Check out Sportingbet for NCAA and NFL Football Betting.

Wildcats favored over No. 16 BYU in Las Vegas Bowl

December 16, 2008

The NCAA Football bowl schedule officially kicks off Saturday with four games, including the No. 16 BYU Cougars facing the favored Arizona Wildcats in the Las Vegas Bowl, the only matchup involving a Top 25-ranked team.

Arizona is a 3-point favorite with -105 juice at Sportsbooks. The Wildcats are a -145 moneyline favorite at Sportsbooks, and the over/under total is 61.5.

The game is being played at Sam Boyd Stadium (8 pm ET, ESPN).

The teams have split their past two meetings, while BYU has covered the spread in both games. They last squared off on Sept. 1, 2007, when the Cougars won 20-7 as 3.5-point home favorites.

In their final game of the season, BYU (10-2 SU, 3-8 ATS) was beaten 48-24 by Utah as 7-point underdogs. The score went well over the total of 55.

Arizona (7-5 SU and ATS) beat Arizona State 31-10 in their regular-season finale. Arizona covered the 10.5-point spread and the score fell under the total of 49.

On the injury front, BYU tight end Dennis Pitta (MCL) is listed as probable for Saturday.

BYU is 20-2 SU in its past 22 games, but 1 -7 ATS in its past eight. The total has gone over in four of BYU’s past five. Arizona is 11-5 ATS in its past 16.

BYU is a 3-point underdog, with -115 juice, and a +125 moneyline dog at Sportsbooks.

Bettors like underdog Alabama in SEC title game

December 1, 2008

The No. 1-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide meet the No. 4 Florida Gators in the SEC Championship game on Saturday at the Georgia Dome (4 pm ET, CBS).

Alabama is undefeated (12-0 SU, 8-0 SEC) while Florida has lost just once this season (11-1 SU, 7-1 SEC).

The SEC champion is virtually guaranteed a spot in the BCS national championship game in Miami on Jan. 8.

The teams are even over the past six meetings, each winning three times. Alabama has an edge against the spread, covering four of those six tilts. The teams last met on Sept. 30, 2006, when Florida won 28-13 as 15.5-point home favorite. The score went over the total of 40.

NCAA Betting Odds has the Gators as a 9.5-point favorite. About 56 per cent of bets on the game are on Alabama, according to Public Betting information.

John Parker Wilson threw for 135 yards and one touchdown to lead Alabama to a 36-0 blowout of Auburn on Saturday. The Tide covered the 14.5-point spread and the score went under the total of 40.5.

Tim Tebow threw three touchdown passes, ran for 80 yards and another score, to pace Florida to a 45-15 win over Florida State in Week 14. The Gators covered the 17-point spread and the score went over the total of 53.5.

Alabama is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. Florida is 5-0 SU in its past five overall.

Alabama RB Roy Upchurch (neck) is questionable for the SEC championship. Florida WR Percy Harvin (ankle), QB Cameron Newton (ankle), DE Duke Lemmens (neck), and Matt Patchan (MCL) are all listed as questionable.

NCAA Football bettors all over Ball State

November 24, 2008

The Western Michigan Broncos visit the No. 15 Ball State Cardinals in a MAC West clash on Tuesday night (7 pm ET, ESPN2).

The teams have split the past 10 meetings, each winning five, but Ball State has a 6-4 ATS edge over that span. The conference rivals last met on Oct. 20, 2007, when Ball State won 27-23 as a 1-point road favorite. The score went under the total of 68.5.

The Cardinals are an 11-point favorite at Sportsbooks.

Public Betting Trends show bettors are backing Ball State big time, with 74 per cent of wagers placed on the game on the Cardinals as of Monday night.

In their last game, the Broncos’ Tim Hiller completed three touchdown passes to pace a 27-17 win over Toledo in Week 12. The Broncos failed to cover the 15-point spread and the score went under the total of 53.5.

Nate Davis threw four TD passes in leading Ball State to a 31-24 victory over Central Michigan in Week 13. Ball State covered the 6.5-point spread and the score fell under the total of 62.

Western Michigan (9-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) has won three straight, while Ball State (11-0 SU, 8-2 ATS) has won 11 straight.

Over/under bettors should note that the total has gone over in five of Western Michigan’s past six on the road, but has gone under in five of Ball State’s past six.

Western Michigan is 4-2 ATS in its past six. Ball State is 5-0 SU in its past five overall and at home, and 8-2 ATS in its last 10.

Bettors backing Spartans to cover big spread at Penn State

November 20, 2008

The 15th-ranked Michigan State Spartans visit the No. 8 Penn State Nittany Lions in NCAA Football action on Saturday (3:30 pm ET, ABC).

Penn State has been the dominant team over the past 10 meetings, going 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS. But the Nittany Lions lost the last time the teams squared off, 35-31 as 3-point road favorites on Nov. 17 last season.

Penn State is a 15.5-point favorite at Sportsbooks but NCAA bettors are backing the Spartans to cover the big spread. Almost 64 per cent of bets placed on the game are on Michigan State, and 67 per cent of over/under wagers are on the Over.

Javon Ringer had two touchdowns for Michigan State in a 27-7 win over Purdue in Week 11. The Spartans covered the 10-point spread, while the score fell under the total of 53.5.

Derrick Williams ran for one TD and caught another as Penn State beat Indiana 34-7 in Week 12. The Lions did not cover the 35.5-point spread, while the score went under the total of 56.

Michigan State is 9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS and has won three straight. Penn State is 10-1 SU and 6-3-1 ATS.

The total has gone over in six of the past eight meetings. Penn State is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings at Penn State.

NCAA Football Betting: Ball State at Miami (OH)

November 10, 2008

The No. 17 Ball State Cardinals put their undefeated record on the line when they visit MAC rival Miami (OH) Redhawks on Tuesday night (7 pm ET, ESPN2).

Ball State (9-0 SU, 7-1 ATS) is 5-0 SU in MAC conference play while the Redhawks (2-7 SU, 3-5 ATS) are 1-4 SU.

The Cardinals are a 17.5-point road favorite at Sportsbooks.

The Redhawks have won four of the past eight meetings (the teams had a tie game in 1996) and five of the past seven. But Ball State has the edge against the spread, going 5-3 ATS over the past eight. The teams last met on Aug. 30 last season when the Redhawks edge the Cardinals 14-13 as 4-point road dogs.

Last week, Nate Davis threw four TD passes and ran for another as Ball State beat Northern Illinois 45-14 in Week 11. Ball State covered as 9.5-point faves and the score went over the total of 47.

The RedHawks suffered their first loss to the Buffalo Bulls in 11 meetings with a 37-17 defeat in Buffalo last Tuesday night. Buffalo covered the 8-point spread and the score went over the 50.5-point total.

Ball State is 5-0 SU in its past five, 5-1 SU in its past six on the road, and 4-1 ATS in its past five on the road. Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 ATS in its past six, 1-4 SU in its past five at home.

On the injury front, Ball State WR Dante Love (head) and DE Justin Woodard (leg) are out for the season, while Miami OL Bob Gulley (elbow) is questionable and RB Thomas Merriweather (ankle) is probable.

NCAA Football bettors like Texas Tech and the Over in Big 12 showdown

November 6, 2008

The No. 9-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the No. 2 Texas Tech Red Raiders in a Big 12 showdown on Saturday (8 pm ET, ABC).

Texas Tech has a 6-4 SU and ATS edge, although the Cowboys won the last meeting 49-45 on Sept. 22, 2008. Oklahoma State was a 5.5-point home dog.

The Red Raiders are a 3-point favorite in Sportsbooks NCAA Football Betting Odds and the total is 73.5.

Public Betting numbers show that 62 per cent of point-spread wagers on the game are on Texas Tech, and 62 per cent of over/under bets are one Over.

Last week, Dez Bryant caught four touchdown passes and Zac Robinson passed for 395 yards as Oklahoma State rebounded from its first loss by routing Iowa State 59-17. The Cowboys covered the 30.5-point spread and the score went over the total of 61.5.

Texas Tech managed a 39-33 win over Texas in Week 10, as 3.5-point underdogs. The 72 points fell just under the total of 72.5.

Texas Tech (9-0 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) has won nine straight. Oklahoma State is 8-1 SU and 8-0 ATS.

Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in its past five and 9-1 SU in its past 10. The total has gone Under in six of Oklahoma State’s past seven on the road. Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in the past five meetings at home against Oklahoma State.

Texas Tech DT Rajon Henley (leg) and RB Aaron Crawford (toe) are questionable, while WR Michael Crabtree is probable.