Posts Tagged ‘Pittsburgh Panthers’

NCAAB March Madness Betting

February 2, 2011

The college basketball season is already two thirds of the way through which means it’s time to look at picks for March Madness.

The last four years have seen a top seed in one of the brackets prevailing with the Duke Blue Devils in 2010, the North Caolina Tar Heels in 2009, the Kansas Jayhawks in 2008 and the Florida Gators in 2007 all entering the tournaments as top seeds in their respective brackets.

If you want to make any money on March Madness odds in the futures market, you need to pick teams that are in a good position to finish in one of the top seeds. With the college basketball betting season already two thirds of the way done, we’re in a good position to look at the March Madness futures for teams that are likely to finish as top teams. In particular, we look for teams that are in position now to qualify as a top team and teams in position to make a late charge and take top spot.

Top Teams Right Now

The Duke Blue Devils may not be the top team in the League, but at +320 they have the best odds. While the Blue Devils are the defending champions, it is hard to justify taking them at this number. The ACC is down this year and they really haven’t proven that much. They do have a win over a number two team Kansas State, but Kansas State has since fallen hard.

They don’t have any big tests on the horizon, so don’t be surprised to see them enter the tournament as one of the top seeded teams which means you can almost book them in the Elite Eight which is a big advantage, but their odds are just too low to justify spending any money in an event as unpredictable as March Madness.

The number one team in the nation, the Ohio State Buckeyes, comes in next at +420. A good case can be made for the top team in the nation. They have overcome a number of tests including overcoming an 18-point deficit against the Minnesota Golden Gophers. They have a number of big tests left, so don’t be surprised to see them lose a game or two, but the competition will be good for them once the spring tournament starts.

The Kansas Jayhawks look tempting at +1000 because of their one-loss record and strong play annually, but they haven’t faced a lot of tests and seem like the best candidate for falling off with three more games against ranked teams.

A better bet is the lone team to beat the Jayhawks, the Texas Longhorns at +2000. The Longhorns have faced more ranked teams and, in most cases, prevailed. They also don’t have any ranked teams left on their schedule which puts them in a pretty good position to take the Big 12.

Teams Making a Late Charge

The Pittsburgh Panthers +2000 are the strong bet to take a top seed from one of the four aforementioned teams. The Panthers have a win over Texas and have played well despite a fairly strong schedule. The biggest challenge for the Panthers will be the Villanova Wildcats who were one of the top teams for most of the season before falling off badly last week. If they get their game back together, they will be a big threat as these two teams have two meetings left.

A strong alternative to the Panthers, depending on how worried you are about Villanova, is the UConn Huskies at +2000 who have already proven themselves against a number of ranked teams, but their remaining schedule is full of pitfalls starting tomorrow with another team that has dropped precipitously, the Syracuse Orange.

Conclusion

Texas is by far the best college basketball bet based on risk and reward. Their path from here to the Elite Eight is the easiest and they have enough wins over quality opposition to believe they have a chance to go all the way once they get there.

UConn and Pittsburgh both pay the same as Texas, but Texas has a much easier path from here forward and represents a better value.

Duke and Ohio State are solid choices, but not worth the investment in my opinion while Kansas still has a lot to prove.

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Treat for NCAAF Fans as Boise State and Nevada Square Off

November 25, 2009

Two of the best offenses in the nation meet as the Boise State Broncos face the Nevada Wolf Pack on Friday while the Backyard Brawl resumes between the Pittsburgh Panthers and the West Virginia Mountaineers.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Boise State Broncos

The Boise State Broncos host the Nevada Wolf Pack in a game that features the best offense in the nation trying to out-gun the hottest offense.

The Broncos are 14 point college football favorites largely because they have a big edge on defense.

The Wolf Pack are averaging 445.6 yards per game over their last eight games led by a deep stable of rushers including three with at least 1,000 yards.

If Boise State is going to cover the spread, they’re going to have to find a way to limit the damage on the ground. Boise State gives up 115.0 yards per game and if they can hold Nevada to something closer to this number than to the 574 rushing yards Nevada picked up in their last game they should win.

The Broncos offense hasn’t had any 574 yard rushing games, but it averages a nation-high 44.4 points per game.

Quarterback Kellen Moore and the receiving corps get most of the credit, but they diversified their game a bit against Utah State last week when they rushed for 323 yards.

Moore did struggle a bit in the game against Utah State completing fewer than 60 percent of his passes for the first time this season.

If Moore needs a little bit of confidence to get his passing game back, Nevada provides the perfect opportunity do get it. Nevada gives up an average of 286.3 passing yards per game which is second worst in the nation.

If Moore plays like he’s capable of and the Broncos defense is able to slow down the Wolf Pack’s running game, Boise State will easily cover the spread.

Pittsburgh Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers

The Backyard Brawl resumes with the eight-ranked Pittsburgh Panthers visiting the West Virginia Mountaineers.

On paper these teams are very evenly matched and this game is a pick ’em with the over/under at 49.

The Panthers also have the advantage of coming off of their bye week, so they should be well prepared.

Running back Dion Lewis leads the Pittsburgh offense with 1291 yards and is coming off of a 152 yard performance against the Fighting Irish. But West Virginia is getting similar offensive numbers from Jarrett Brown.

Their passing attacks rank 61st and 68th and their defenses are also putting up similar numbers.

The biggest difference is that Pittsburgh is scoring more when they get their chances. They’re more focused and mentally tough and it shows in their respective road records. Pittsburgh is 3-1, West Virginia 1-3.

West Virginia is a perfect 6-0 at home, but Pittsburgh is just the sort of team that can spoil that and coming off of a bye week they should be very well prepared.

NCAA Football Betting: Bettors like Bulls over Panthers

September 30, 2008

The Pittsburgh Panthers take on the No. 10-ranked South Florida Bulls in a clash of surging NCAA Football teams on Thursday at Raymond James Stadium (7:45 pm ET, ESPN).

 

The undefeated Bulls are a 13½-point favorite in NCAA Football Betting Odds at Sportingbet.com.

 

According to Public Betting information, South Florida is getting 63 per cent of the early action on the game, with 453 bets placed on the Bulls compared to 262 for the Panthers. 

 

South Florida has a slight edge head-to-head, going 3-2 SU and ATS over the past five meetings. The teams last squared off on Nov. 24 last season, when the Bulls beat the Panthers 48-37 as 10 point road favorites. The score soared over the total of 45½.

 

Last week, LaRod Stephens-Howling scored two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to pace Pittsburgh (3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS) to a 34-24 win over Syracuse. The Panthers failed to cover the 14-point spread, and the score went over the total of 48.

 

South Florida (5-0 SU, 1-3 ATS) racked up 31 first-half points en route to a 41-10 victory over North Carolina State in Week 5. South Florida covered the 10-point spread, and the 51 points made it over the total of 45.

 

Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its past five, but 2-6 SU in its past eight on the road. South Florida is 11-2 SU in its past 13 at home.

 

On the injury front, Panthers’ linebacker Shane Murray (knee) is day-to-day and defensive lineman Doug Fulmer Jr. (knee) is out for the season. For the Bulls, LB Lucas Darr (ankle) is day-to-day.

Bet NCAA Football at Sportingbet.com, You Wanna Bet’s recommended sportsbook.

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