Posts Tagged ‘Villanova Wildcats’

NCAA Basketball Betting Preview: Villanova-Louisville

January 11, 2010

The No. 6 Villanova Wildcats take on the unranked Louisville Cardinal in a Big East conference battle Monday (7 pm ET, ESPN).

Louisville is a 3-point favorite and the over/under is 156.

The matchup pits two teams with undefeated conference records (both are 3-0 SU in the Big East) against each other.

Villanova, 14-1 SU overall, is led by the nearly 18 points per game that senior Scottie Reynolds is scoring. Junior Antonio Pena leads them with just over 8 rebounds a game, while Corey Fisher’s 4.5 assists leads the Wildcats.

Louisville, 12-4 SU overall, is led by sophomore Samardo Samuels leads them with 15.5 points and 8 rebounds a game. Senior Edgar Sosa leads the Cardinals with just over 4 assists per game.

Villanova prefers a more up-tempo game while Louisville prefers to play it a bit slower. Villanova’s guard-heavy lineup causes matchup problems with their quickness. Louisville, on the other hand, is a more balanced squad and wears teams down with their 11-man rotation.

The Wildcats are 10-4 ATS this season, one of the best cover teams in the Top 25. Louisville, on the other hand, is 5-6 ATS so far. However, over the past three years or so, the Cards have been great in conference play, going 42-13-2 ATS in their last 57 conference games.

For the ’09-’10 season, the two teams are a combined 17-7 on Over bets, yet the last four in this series have all been Under the total.

HOT TRENDS:

Villanova is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as underdog of <6.5.
Villanova is 4-0 ATS last 4 Monday games.
Louisville 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 Monday games.
Louisville 20-8-1 ATS last 29 games as favorite of <6.5.
Over is 8-1 in Wildcats’ last 9 overall.
Over is 8-1 in Cardinals’ last 9 as favorite.

HEAD-TO-HEAD TRENDS:

Under is 4-0 last 4 meetings.
Wildcats 0-5 ATS last 5 meetings.